3
Louise Brooks
6yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 78
Presque Isle Downs · Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
13%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-08-10 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-07-08 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-06-24 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-06-02 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-05-27 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength56%
Delivery trend -5.6% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09/2025 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 08/10/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 02/01/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 27/05/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 02/06/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 24/06/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 80% | +0.14 |
| 08/07/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 25% | -0.46 |
| 10/08/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 24/08/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |