5
Triple R Rated
7yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 76
Presque Isle Downs · Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 2.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 8th | −2 |
| 2026-08-18 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-07-08 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-09-01 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-08-12 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-07-21 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength26%
Delivery trend +0.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/05/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 11/06/2025 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 60% | -0.31 |
| 23/06/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 21/07/2025 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 12/08/2025 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 01/09/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 08/07/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 67% | +0.06 |
| 18/08/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 25% | -0.51 |
| 09/09/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 17% | -0.54 |