1
Judy Chop
3yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 65
Presque Isle Downs · Race 7 - Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
18%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-31 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-23 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength76%
Delivery trend -0.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 33% | -0.30 |
| 12/04/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 01/06/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 23/06/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 03/07/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 28/07/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 14/08/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |
| 31/08/2026 | 7th | 5/2 | 87% | 14% | -0.73 |
| 15/09/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 80% | +0.17 |