So Grand

4yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 62

Presque Isle Downs · Race 7 - Claiming · 6f

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

94%

Place Prob

76%

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL

▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark

Move▬

Strength11%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C8.1

Today:

Class gap: -0.6

Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-15	Presque Isle Downs	?	1st	2nd	−1	7.8
2026-08-31	Presque Isle Downs	?	5th	6th	−1	3.8
2026-08-05	Presque Isle Downs	?	6th	4th	+2	5.8
2026-07-03	Presque Isle Downs	?	5th	6th	−1	3.8
2026-06-23	Presque Isle Downs	?	5th	6th	−1	3.8
2026-06-03	Presque Isle Downs	?	2nd	3rd	−1	6.8

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%

▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price

Trend▼

Strength27%

Delivery trend -4.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
17/01/2026	2nd	5/2	87%	88%	+0.01
15/02/2026	3rd	11/4	86%	67%	-0.19
05/03/2026	4th	5/1	74%	67%	-0.07
03/06/2026	2nd	1/1	95%	80%	-0.15
23/06/2026	5th	4/11	98%	33%	-0.65
03/07/2026	5th	7/4	91%	20%	-0.71
05/08/2026	6th	7/2	82%	0%	-0.82
31/08/2026	5th	7/2	82%	33%	-0.48
15/09/2026	1st	11/4	86%	100%	+0.14