7
Twist 'n Twirl
7yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 74
Presque Isle Downs · Race 7 - Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-26 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength96%
Delivery trend +6.4% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08/2025 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 0% | -0.86 |
| 14/05/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 57% | -0.11 |
| 29/05/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 43% | -0.41 |
| 23/06/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 75% | +0.14 |
| 14/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 75% | -0.18 |
| 29/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 83% | +0.10 |
| 11/08/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 71% | -0.15 |
| 26/08/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 75% | -0.14 |
| 14/09/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |