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2

Viva Victory

7yo Horse · 8-11 · OR 56

Presque Isle Downs · Race 7 - Claiming · 6f

#7

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Thistledown 02/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 65 · 5f110y Fas 119 · below its mark02/07/2025 · OR 65 par2/07C8OR 65C8 @ Thistledown 17/07/2025 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 66 · 5f110y 119 · below its mark17/07/2025 · OR 66 parC8 @ Thistledown 02/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 61 · 6f 119 · below its mark02/09/2025 · OR 61 par2/09C8OR 61C8 @ Presque Isle Downs 08/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 55 · 6f 123 · below its mark08/10/2025 · OR 55 parC8 @ Presque Isle Downs 15/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 52 · 6f 123 · below its mark15/07/2026 · OR 52 par15/07C8OR 52C8 @ Presque Isle Downs 28/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 50 · 6f 123 · below its mark28/07/2026 · OR 50 parC8 @ Presque Isle Downs 14/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 55 · 5f110y 123 · below its mark14/08/2026 · OR 55 par14/08C8OR 55C8 @ Presque Isle Downs 31/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 54 · 6f 123 · below its mark31/08/2026 · OR 54 parC8 @ Presque Isle Downs 15/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 56 · 5f110y 123 · below its mark15/09/2026 · OR 56 par15/09C8OR 56projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-15Presque Isle Downs?5th5th0
2026-08-31Presque Isle Downs?8th8th0
2026-08-14Presque Isle Downs?4th4th0
2026-07-28Presque Isle Downs?6th6th0
2026-07-15Presque Isle Downs?6th6th0
2025-10-08Presque Isle Downs?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/078/1014/0815/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength66%

Delivery trend +4.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/07/20254th15/261%40%-0.21
17/07/20256th14/126%0%-0.26
02/09/20253rd16/116%60%+0.44
08/10/20255th80/10%0%0.00
15/07/20266th25/10%0%0.00
28/07/20266th33/10%17%+0.17
14/08/20264th25/10%40%+0.40
31/08/20268th50/10%0%0.00
15/09/20265th33/10%20%+0.20