1

King Reigert

4yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 83

Presque Isle Downs · Race 8 - Claiming · 1m 70y

#3

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

11%

Place Prob

17%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength51%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 20/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 72 · 1m110y 119 · below its mark20/02/2026 · OR 72 par20/02C8OR 72C8 @ Presque Isle Downs 25/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 67 · 1m 123 · below its mark25/05/2026 · OR 67 parC8 @ Presque Isle Downs 08/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 68 · 1m70y 123 · below its mark08/06/2026 · OR 68 par8/06C8OR 68C8 @ Presque Isle Downs 23/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 68 · 1m70y Fas 123 · below its mark23/06/2026 · OR 68 parC8 @ Presque Isle Downs 02/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 69 · 1m70y 123 · below its mark02/07/2026 · OR 69 par2/07C8OR 69C5 @ Presque Isle Downs 22/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 73 · 1m 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/07/2026 · OR 73 parC8 @ Presque Isle Downs 14/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 77 · 1m 123 · below its mark14/08/2026 · OR 77 par14/08C8OR 77C5 @ Presque Isle Downs 31/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 79 · 1m70y 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark31/08/2026 · OR 79 parC8 @ Presque Isle Downs 14/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 80 · 1m70y 125 · below its mark14/09/2026 · OR 80 par14/09C8OR 80projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-14Presque Isle Downs?4th4th0
2026-08-31Presque Isle Downs?1st-2th+3
2026-08-14Presque Isle Downs?2nd2nd0
2026-07-22Presque Isle Downs?3rd0th+3
2026-07-02Presque Isle Downs?4th4th0
2026-06-23Presque Isle Downs?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/0223/0614/0814/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +6.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/02/20266th9/153%17%-0.36
25/05/20265th12/137%33%-0.04
08/06/20262nd3/184%83%-0.01
23/06/20266th10/382%38%-0.45
02/07/20264th8/158%25%-0.33
22/07/20263rd33/10%67%+0.67
14/08/20262nd10/382%75%-0.07
31/08/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
14/09/20264th12/137%50%+0.13