1
Amen Kate
6yo Mare · 11-7
Sligo · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Beginners Chase · 2m 1f 153y
#3
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#3
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | Fairyhouse | 1 | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-12 | Cheltenham | 1 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2025-12-20 | Thurles | 1 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-12-11 | Punchestown | 1 | 0 | ||
| 2025-10-26 | Galway | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-25 | Listowel | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +4.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09/2024 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 02/02/2025 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |
| 06/04/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 57% | -0.17 |
| 30/04/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 73% | +0.20 |
| 25/09/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 88% | +0.09 |
| 26/10/2025 | 1st | 1/3 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 20/12/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 12/03/2026 | 15th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |