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Future Prospect

6yo Mare · 11-7 · OR 124

Sligo · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Beginners Chase · 2m 1f 153y

#1

Rank

Odds

7/4

Win Prob

97%

Place Prob

84%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Bumper/hurdle winner who has shown fairly useful form when runner-up on all 3 completed starts over fences, most recently to a talented stablemate at Tramore (2¾m, good to firm) 45 day ago. Won't be inconvenienced by the marked drop back in trip. The one beat.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength3%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 2.9)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack1 @ Leopardstown 02/02/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 2m Sft 1612/0211 @ Fairyhouse 06/04/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 2m Goo 1611 @ Punchestown 30/04/2025 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 2m132y Yie 16530/041C8 @ Naas 09/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 25 · OR - · 2m Yie 1591 @ Fairyhouse 05/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 2m4f Yie 1595/0411 @ Punchestown 30/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 129 · 2m90y Yie 158 · below its mark30/04/2026 · OR 129 parC0 @ Wexford 30/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 2m3f110y Goo 16130/06C?C0 @ Wexford 22/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 1m7f110y Gd 161BHA124 @ Tramore 16/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 124 · 2m6f Gd 161 · below its mark16/08/2026 · OR 124 par16/08124OR 124projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-16TramoreBHA1242nd2nd0
2026-07-22Wexford?2nd2nd0
2026-06-30Wexford?2nd2nd0
2026-05-30Tramore?0
2026-04-30Punchestown13rd3rd0
2026-04-05Fairyhouse14th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/029/0130/0616/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength90%

Delivery trend +1.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 6.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/02/20255th9/488%56%-0.33
06/04/20253rd11/486%71%-0.14
30/04/20256th9/276%55%-0.22
09/01/20261st11/1094%100%+0.06
05/04/20264th14/126%70%+0.44
30/04/20263rd10/1195%50%-0.45
30/06/20262nd9/488%86%-0.02
22/07/20262nd13/891%80%-0.11
16/08/20262nd9/488%83%-0.05