4
Kelya
6yo Mare · 11-7
Sligo · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Beginners Chase · 2m 1f 153y
#6
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Wexford | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-03-13 | Limerick | 1 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2024-10-30 | Auteuil | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2024-08-18 | Le Lion D'angers | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength43%
Delivery trend +9.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08/2024 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 30/10/2024 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 13/03/2025 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 08/08/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |