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5

Miss Fourie

9yo Mare · 11-7

Sligo · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Beginners Chase · 2m 1f 153y

#5

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fairly useful hurdler for Peter Fahey but showed her quirky side in her 4 outings last year. Better effort over fences when third in Grade 3 novice at Roscommon on Monday, likely to have won but for a bad mistake and almost unseating her rider at the last.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C10.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA109 @ Galway 31/07/2024 · Pos 2nd of 19 · OR 109 · 2m110y Goo 140 · below its mark31/07/2024 · OR 109 par31/07109OR 109BHA112 @ Tramore 15/08/2024 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 112 · 2m Goo 156 · below its mark15/08/2024 · OR 112 parBHA112 @ Killarney 22/08/2024 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 112 · 2m1f Goo 140 · beat its mark22/08/2024 · OR 112 par22/08112OR 1121 @ Down Royal 01/11/2024 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 123 · 2m190y Goo 148 · below its mark01/11/2024 · OR 123 parBHA122 @ Bellewstown 05/07/2025 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR 122 · 2m1f40y Gd 158 · below its mark05/07/2025 · OR 122 par5/07122OR 122BHA122 @ Galway 30/07/2025 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR 122 · 2m110y Gd 160 · below its mark30/07/2025 · OR 122 parBHA122 @ Listowel 27/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 122 · 2m4f Goo 156 · below its mark27/09/2025 · OR 122 par27/09122OR 122C0 @ Tramore 16/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 2m6f Gd 1611 @ Roscommon 28/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR - · 2m107y Yie 14828/091projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-28Roscommon13rd3rd0
2026-08-16Tramore?4th4th0
2025-09-27ListowelBHA1226th6th0
2025-08-21KillarneyBHA1220
2025-07-30GalwayBHA1227th7th0
2025-07-05BellewstownBHA1227th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/071/1127/0928/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength48%

Delivery trend -5.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/07/20242nd20/10%94%+0.94
15/08/20246th8/158%38%-0.20
22/08/20241st17/255%100%+0.45
01/11/20244th66/10%40%+0.40
05/07/20257th20/10%60%+0.60
30/07/20257th11/142%60%+0.18
27/09/20256th14/126%44%+0.18
16/08/20264th18/15%50%+0.45
28/09/20263rd8/158%33%-0.25