6
Sixandahalf
6yo Mare · 11-7
Sligo · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Beginners Chase · 2m 1f 153y
#2
Rank
Odds
6/4
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
15%
Rank
#2
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 9.2 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C5.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-13 | Cheltenham | 1 | 17th | 17th | 0 |
| 2025-12-29 | Leopardstown | 1 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-24 | Sligo | BHA138 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-09-28 | Curragh | BHA93 | 18th | 18th | 0 |
| 2025-06-04 | Curragh | BHA94 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-05-01 | Punchestown | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 3-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength36%
Delivery trend -7.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09/2024 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 93% | +0.30 |
| 11/01/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 13/03/2025 | 2nd | 85/40 | 89% | 95% | +0.07 |
| 01/05/2025 | 3rd | 8/13 | 97% | 78% | -0.19 |
| 04/06/2025 | 11th | 6/4 | 92% | 17% | -0.75 |
| 28/09/2025 | 18th | 15/2 | 61% | 41% | -0.19 |
| 24/10/2025 | 2nd | 1/3 | 98% | 67% | -0.32 |
| 29/12/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 25% | -0.49 |
| 13/03/2026 | 17th | 10/1 | 47% | 27% | -0.20 |