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3

Putapoundinthejar

6yo Gelding · 11-12

Sligo · Gracie's Bar Beginners Chase · 2m 1f 153y

#3

Rank

Odds

9/4

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#3

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Useful hurdler who won a couple of big-field handicaps in July, including the Galway Hurdle, and made an encouraging start over fences when 7 lengths second of 5 to Daddy Long Legs in maiden at Killarney on chasing bow (Bowensonfire third). Open to improvement.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength30%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack1 @ Cheltenham 16/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 18 · OR 133 · 2m87y Sft 157 · below its mark16/11/2025 · OR 133 par16/111OR 1331 @ Leopardstown 01/02/2026 · Pos 13th of 19 · OR 126 · 2m Hvy 144 · below its mark01/02/2026 · OR 126 parBHA71 @ Bellewstown 11/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 71 · 1m3f90y Sft 141 · beat its mark11/04/2026 · OR 71 par11/0471OR 711 @ Punchestown 28/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 21 · OR 124 · 2m132y Yie 141 · beat its mark28/04/2026 · OR 124 par3 @ Hamilton 17/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 80 · 1m5f16y Gd 125 · beat its mark17/05/2026 · OR 80 par17/053OR 80BHA124 @ Listowel 01/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 124 · 2m Yie 165 · below its mark01/06/2026 · OR 124 parBHA124 @ Bellewstown 04/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR 124 · 2m1f40y Gd 163 · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 124 par4/07124OR 1241 @ Galway 30/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 20 · OR 129 · 2m11y Gd 142 · beat its mark30/07/2026 · OR 129 parC0 @ Killarney 22/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR - · 2m1f Goo 16622/08C?projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Killarney?2nd2nd0
2026-07-30Galway11st1st0
2026-07-04BellewstownBHA1241st1st0
2026-06-01ListowelBHA1243rd3rd0
2026-05-17Hamilton37th7th0
2026-04-28Punchestown15th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/1128/044/0722/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 550% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▼
Strength88%

Delivery trend -3.3% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 3rd of 5. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/11/20256th22/10%71%+0.71
01/02/202613th12/137%33%-0.04
11/04/20261st5/174%100%+0.26
28/04/20265th6/168%80%+0.12
17/05/20267th9/153%45%-0.07
01/06/20263rd16/583%71%-0.12
04/07/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
30/07/20261st10/147%100%+0.53
22/08/20262nd9/488%75%-0.13