7
Jumble Light
7yo Gelding · 10-2 · OR 94
Sligo · Eddie McAllister Memorial Novice Handicap Chase · 2m 1f 153y
#8
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.9 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.8
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-17 | Down Royal | BHA95 | −2 | ||
| 2026-01-12 | Punchestown | BHA95 | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2025-12-14 | Navan | BHA95 | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2025-10-25 | Galway | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2025-06-10 | Sligo | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-04-24 | Kilbeggan | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength40%
Delivery trend -0.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/2024 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 03/06/2024 | 4th | 16/5 | 83% | 57% | -0.26 |
| 24/04/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 10/06/2025 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 25/10/2025 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 14/12/2025 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 79% | +0.79 |
| 12/01/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 63% | -0.11 |