4
Miners Bridge
9yo Gelding · 11-0 · OR 106
Sligo · Eddie McAllister Memorial Novice Handicap Chase · 2m 1f 153y
#1
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
37%
Place Prob
38%
Rank
#1
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.7
Today:
Class gap: -2.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Killarney | BHA98 | 1st | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-08-03 | Cork | BHA107 | 4th | 8th | −3 |
| 2025-07-01 | Tipperary | BHA95 | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2025-05-31 | Tramore | BHA95 | 7th | 9th | −2 |
| 2024-10-04 | Gowran Park | BHA111 | 5th | 9th | −4 |
| 2024-08-15 | Tramore | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▼
Strength100%
Delivery trend -2.4% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06/2024 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 91% | +0.54 |
| 05/07/2024 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 71% | +0.29 |
| 18/07/2024 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 15/08/2024 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 90% | +0.48 |
| 04/10/2024 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 71% | +0.35 |
| 31/05/2025 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 54% | -0.25 |
| 01/07/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 93% | +0.41 |
| 03/08/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 82% | +0.67 |
| 20/08/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |