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Stuntman Steve

7yo Gelding · 11-6 · OR 112

Sligo · Eddie McAllister Memorial Novice Handicap Chase · 2m 1f 153y

#5

Rank

Odds

13/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fitted with blinkers, returned to form when fifth in 16-runner handicap hurdle at Bellewstown in July and, from his lower mark returned to chasing, backed that up when third of 6 at Downpatrick a month ago. Potentially well treated in this discipline.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲3
Strength10%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.9 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C10.0
Today:
Class gap: -2.5
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA123 @ Bellewstown 27/08/2025 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR 123 · 2m4f110y Gd 163 · below its mark27/08/2025 · OR 123 par27/08123OR 1231 @ Listowel 26/09/2025 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 122 · 2m Goo 148 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark26/09/2025 · OR 122 parC0 @ Fairyhouse 14/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 2m1f30y Yie 16614/01C?C0 @ Thurles 05/02/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 2m2f Sft 166C0 @ Leopardstown 03/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 2m1f Yie 1663/03C?BHA114 @ Navan 21/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 114 · 2m1f Sft 160 · below its mark21/03/2026 · OR 114 par3 @ Ayr 17/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 119 · 2m110y Sft 158 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark17/04/2026 · OR 119 par17/043OR 119BHA120 @ Bellewstown 04/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR 120 · 2m1f40y Gd 159 · below its mark04/07/2026 · OR 120 parBHA112 @ Downpatrick 31/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 112 · 2m1f165y Gd 158 · below its mark31/08/2026 · OR 112 par31/08112OR 112projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31DownpatrickBHA1123rd7th−4
2026-07-04BellewstownBHA1205th10th−5
2026-06-06PunchestownBHA112−4
2026-05-29TramoreBHA112−4
2026-04-17Ayr35th0th+5
2026-03-21NavanBHA1145th10th−4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/085/0217/0431/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +4.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/08/202510th9/153%25%-0.28
26/09/202510th25/10%18%+0.18
14/01/20267th28/10%14%+0.14
05/02/20269th50/10%11%+0.11
03/03/20264th100/10%40%+0.40
21/03/20265th18/15%50%+0.45
17/04/20265th16/116%50%+0.34
04/07/20265th28/10%73%+0.73
31/08/20263rd3/184%60%-0.24