2
Bergamasquo
5yo Gelding · 11-12
Sligo · Frank O'Beirne Memorial Beginners Chase · 3m 1f 182y
#8
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-29 | Downpatrick | BHA108 | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-05 | Thurles | BHA110 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-04 | Punchestown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-15 | Naas | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-11-08 | Gowran Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength82%
Delivery trend +14.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 94% | +0.07 |
| 15/12/2025 | 9th | 11/4 | 86% | 58% | -0.28 |
| 04/02/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 05/03/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |