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6

Only For Our Man

6yo Gelding · 11-12 · OR 107

Sligo · Frank O'Beirne Memorial Beginners Chase · 3m 1f 182y

#2

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

12%

Place Prob

21%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Point winner who opened Rules account in 2¾m handicap hurdle at Down Royal in April. Has made the frame all 4 starts this season, despite seeming unsuited by the drop back to 17f when fourth of 14 at Down Royal last time. Could be in the mix sent chasing.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Tramore 01/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 2m180y Sft 1581/01C8C8 @ Down Royal 20/01/2026 · Pos 10th of 20 · OR - · 2m1f33y Yie 158C8 @ Punchestown 15/02/2026 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR - · 2m3f104y Hvy 16615/02C8BHA89 @ Naas 04/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 89 · 2m2f180y Sft 145 · below its mark04/03/2026 · OR 89 parC8 @ Down Royal 12/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 92 · 2m6f Goo 148 · beat its mark12/04/2026 · OR 92 par12/04C8OR 92BHA100 @ Cork 10/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 21 · OR 100 · 3m80y Goo 168 · below its mark10/05/2026 · OR 100 parBHA104 @ Listowel 30/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 104 · 2m7f100y Yie 162 · below its mark30/05/2026 · OR 104 par30/05104OR 104BHA106 @ Killarney 16/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 106 · 2m4f85y Goo 158 · below its mark16/07/2026 · OR 106 parBHA107 @ Down Royal 28/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 107 · 2m1f87y Goo 163 · below its mark28/08/2026 · OR 107 par28/08107OR 107projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Down RoyalBHA1074th4th0
2026-07-16KillarneyBHA1063rd3rd0
2026-05-30ListowelBHA1042nd2nd0
2026-05-10CorkBHA1002nd2nd0
2026-04-12Down Royal?1st1st0
2026-03-04NaasBHA892nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/014/0330/0528/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength60%

Delivery trend -3.8% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/01/20265th9/276%67%-0.10
20/01/202610th28/10%53%+0.53
15/02/202612th80/10%21%+0.21
04/03/20262nd14/126%90%+0.64
12/04/20261st15/890%100%+0.10
10/05/20262nd9/488%95%+0.07
30/05/20262nd5/287%89%+0.02
16/07/20263rd4/179%78%-0.01
28/08/20264th4/179%77%-0.02