10

Walkingmayotomilan

5yo Mare · 11-5

Sligo · Frank O'Beirne Memorial Beginners Chase · 3m 1f 182y

#7

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Placed on 3 of 4 starts in points and left previous hurdling efforts behind when winning extended 2¾m maiden at Ballinrobe last month. Progressed again when third in mares handicap at the same course 19 days ago. One of 2 chasing debutants in the line-up for yard.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 7.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Naas 25/01/2026 · Pos 14th of 16 · OR - · 2m2f150y Hvy 15925/01C8C8 @ Galway 29/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 20 · OR - · 2m6f Gd 15929/07C8C8 @ Ballinrobe 10/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 2m6f113y Goo 15910/08C8BHA101 @ Ballinrobe 11/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 101 · 2m5f208y Goo 149 · below its mark11/09/2026 · OR 101 par11/09101OR 101projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11BallinrobeBHA1013rd3rd0
2026-08-10Ballinrobe?1st1st0
2026-07-29Galway?11th11th0
2026-01-25Naas?14th14th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0129/0710/0811/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength93%

Delivery trend +1.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/01/202614th150/10%13%+0.13
29/07/202611th150/10%47%+0.47
10/08/20261st17/255%100%+0.45
11/09/20263rd15/261%80%+0.19