IvyArcIvyArc
10

Andyourbirdcansing

8yo Mare · 10-12 · OR 84

Sligo · Brenda Anderson Memorial Handicap Chase (0-100) · 2m 5f

#8

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#8

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Inconsistent performer who took advantage of reduced mark when landing handicap hurdle at this track last month. Below form since and isn't easy to catch right but returns to chasing having slipped back down to last winning mark. Claims if able to keep jumping errors to a minimum.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA88 @ Clonmel 02/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 88 · 2m2f141y Goo 161 · below its mark02/10/2025 · OR 88 par2/1088OR 88BHA95 @ Punchestown 15/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 95 · 2m95y Goo 146 · below its mark15/10/2025 · OR 95 parBHA93 @ Sligo 24/10/2025 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR 93 · 2m1f112y Goo 162 · below its mark24/10/2025 · OR 93 par24/1093OR 93BHA90 @ Clonmel 14/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR 90 · 2m3f116y Goo 161 · below its mark14/05/2026 · OR 90 parBHA89 @ Ballinrobe 26/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR 89 · 2m6f28y Goo 148 · below its mark26/05/2026 · OR 89 par26/0589OR 89BHA86 @ Downpatrick 13/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 86 · 2m5f180y Gd 161 · below its mark13/06/2026 · OR 86 parBHA84 @ Sligo 12/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR 84 · 2m4f116y Gd 152 · beat its mark12/07/2026 · OR 84 par12/0784OR 84BHA91 @ Sligo 06/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR 91 · 2m1f193y Gd 160 · below its mark06/08/2026 · OR 91 parBHA91 @ Kilbeggan 03/09/2026 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR 91 · 2m3f Goo 148 · below its mark03/09/2026 · OR 91 par3/0991OR 91projClass-projected finish: 11th of 15
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03KilbegganBHA9112th12th0
2026-08-06SligoBHA9110th10th0
2026-07-12SligoBHA841st1st0
2026-06-13DownpatrickBHA865th5th0
2026-05-26BallinrobeBHA896th6th0
2026-05-14ClonmelBHA905th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/1014/0512/073/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1529% of fieldRange 6-15 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength25%

Delivery trend +1.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 15.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/10/20254th11/271%73%+0.02
15/10/20255th14/126%43%+0.17
24/10/202511th11/142%17%-0.25
14/05/20265th11/142%73%+0.31
26/05/20266th18/15%64%+0.59
13/06/20265th14/126%69%+0.43
12/07/20261st11/271%100%+0.29
06/08/202610th15/261%40%-0.21
03/09/202612th18/15%27%+0.21