11
Brother Hollie
4yo Gelding · 10-9 · OR 92
Sligo · Brenda Anderson Memorial Handicap Chase (0-100) · 2m 5f
#12
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 8.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Galway | BHA93 | 19th | 19th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Sligo | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Kilbeggan | BHA95 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Down Royal | BHA99 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-17 | Wexford | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-16 | Navan | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 150% of fieldRange 9-15 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -6.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 15th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10/2025 | 10th | 250/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 16/11/2025 | 6th | 200/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 17/03/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 12/04/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 31/05/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 12/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 82% | +0.00 |
| 07/09/2026 | 19th | 14/1 | 26% | 5% | -0.21 |