2
Cornaroya Rocco
5yo Gelding · 11-10 · OR 96
Sligo · Brenda Anderson Memorial Handicap Chase (0-100) · 2m 5f
#13
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Listowel | BHA96 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-26 | Bellewstown | BHA96 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Ballinrobe | BHA97 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Killarney | BHA94 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Ballinrobe | BHA97 | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-15 | Kilbeggan | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1564% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength78%
Delivery trend -0.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07/2025 | 18th | 125/1 | 0% | 6% | +0.06 |
| 10/04/2026 | 6th | 150/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 20/04/2026 | 5th | 80/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 15/05/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 16/07/2026 | 2nd | 40/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 10/08/2026 | 13th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 26/08/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 80% | +0.38 |
| 25/09/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 77% | +0.30 |