3
Hurricane Honey
7yo Mare · 11-9 · OR 95
Sligo · Brenda Anderson Memorial Handicap Chase (0-100) · 2m 5f
#5
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Kilbeggan | BHA93 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Bellewstown | BHA95 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Sligo | BHA95 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Limerick | BHA98 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-10-01 | Sligo | BHA93 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-09-12 | Ballinrobe | BHA96 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1593% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +2.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/11/2024 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 15/07/2025 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 14/08/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 71% | -0.10 |
| 12/09/2025 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 01/10/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 90% | +0.37 |
| 18/10/2025 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 09/06/2026 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 60% | +0.18 |
| 04/07/2026 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 36% | -0.01 |
| 24/07/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 85% | +0.58 |