IvyArcIvyArc
9

Mobile Mamma

7yo Mare · 10-13 · OR 85

Sligo · Brenda Anderson Memorial Handicap Chase (0-100) · 2m 5f

#2

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

67%

Place Prob

40%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Second to subsequent winner Ladies Well on return reads positively in the context of this race. Not as good back hurdling since but wasn’t disgraced despite failing to justify support behind Luna Run at Fontwell last time. One to consider back over fences in first-time blinkers.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength3%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Perth 26/09/2024 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR - · 2m4f35y Gd 15426/0944 @ Market Rasen 05/12/2024 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 2m4f139y Goo 1474 @ Uttoxeter 20/12/2024 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 2m6f45y Sft 15420/1245 @ Newcastle 31/03/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 86 · 2m7f91y Goo 158 · beat its mark31/03/2025 · OR 86 par5 @ Newcastle 14/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 89 · 2m7f91y Goo 162 · below its mark14/03/2026 · OR 89 par14/035OR 895 @ Sedgefield 10/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 3 · OR 86 · 3m2f59y Gd 149 · below its mark10/04/2026 · OR 86 parBHA82 @ Killarney 17/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR 82 · 2m7f Goo 150 · below its mark17/07/2026 · OR 82 par17/0782OR 82BHA88 @ Wexford 07/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR 88 · 3m Goo 156 · below its mark07/08/2026 · OR 88 par5 @ Fontwell 28/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 89 · 3m1f166y Gd 161 · below its mark28/08/2026 · OR 89 par28/085OR 89projClass-projected finish: 12th of 15
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Fontwell53rd3rd0
2026-08-07WexfordBHA8811th11th0
2026-07-17KillarneyBHA822nd2nd0
2026-04-10Sedgefield53rd3rd0
2026-03-14Newcastle55th5th0
2025-03-31Newcastle51st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0931/0317/0728/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1586% of fieldRange 4-15 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength26%

Delivery trend -6.7% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 15. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/09/20245th22/10%0%0.00
05/12/20245th66/10%20%+0.20
20/12/20245th25/10%60%+0.60
31/03/20251st7/163%100%+0.37
14/03/20265th15/261%56%-0.05
10/04/20263rd7/491%0%-0.91
17/07/20262nd15/261%93%+0.32
07/08/202611th16/116%17%+0.01
28/08/20263rd7/491%50%-0.41