4
Poppycon
6yo Gelding · 11-8 · OR 94
Sligo · Brenda Anderson Memorial Handicap Chase (0-100) · 2m 5f
#7
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#7
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Ballinrobe | BHA95 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Wexford | BHA96 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Sligo | BHA94 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Listowel | BHA95 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Tramore | BHA95 | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-17 | Wexford | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1514% of fieldRange 12-15 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -11.8% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/01/2026 | 3rd | 66/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 29/01/2026 | 16th | 66/1 | 0% | 12% | +0.12 |
| 18/02/2026 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 17/03/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 89% | +0.63 |
| 30/05/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 82% | +0.24 |
| 12/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 93% | +0.45 |
| 07/08/2026 | 10th | 3/1 | 84% | 31% | -0.53 |
| 11/09/2026 | 11th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |