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14

Set The Tone

5yo Mare · 10-5 · OR 77

Sligo · Brenda Anderson Memorial Handicap Chase (0-100) · 2m 5f

#4

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

7%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Landed 3m Wexford handicap hurdle in July and took a step forward from previous chasing starts when 4¾ lengths second of 13 to Fr Gilligansvoyge (winner again since) at Tramore following month. Needs to bounce back from a poor run last time, but would have place claims if doing so.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength21%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class: BHA75
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA95 @ Tramore 14/04/2025 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 95 · 2m5f110y Yie 155 · below its mark14/04/2025 · OR 95 par14/0495OR 95BHA94 @ Wexford 17/05/2025 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR 94 · 2m1f Goo 156 · below its mark17/05/2025 · OR 94 parBHA85 @ Tramore 19/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 85 · 1m7f110y Yie 153 · below its mark19/04/2026 · OR 85 par19/0485OR 85BHA81 @ Clonmel 14/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR 81 · 2m3f116y Goo 152 · below its mark14/05/2026 · OR 81 parBHA75 @ Limerick 02/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 18 · OR 75 · 2m6f120y Gd 143 · below its mark02/07/2026 · OR 75 par2/0775OR 75BHA76 @ Wexford 23/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR 76 · 3m Gd 144 · beat its mark23/07/2026 · OR 76 parBHA82 @ Wexford 07/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 82 · 3m Goo 150 · below its mark07/08/2026 · OR 82 par7/0882OR 82BHA75 @ Tramore 14/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR 75 · 2m5f180y Gd 145 · below its mark14/08/2026 · OR 75 parBHA77 @ Ballinrobe 11/09/2026 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR 77 · 2m7f67y Yie 145 · below its mark11/09/2026 · OR 77 par11/0977OR 77projClass-projected finish: 6th of 15
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11BallinrobeBHA7711th11th0
2026-08-14TramoreBHA752nd2nd0
2026-08-07WexfordBHA826th6th0
2026-07-23WexfordBHA761st1st0
2026-07-02LimerickBHA752nd2nd0
2026-05-29TramoreBHA780

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0414/057/0811/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1550% of fieldRange 6-15 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength11%

Delivery trend -0.9% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 8th of 15.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/04/202510th17/255%10%-0.45
17/05/202510th25/10%31%+0.31
19/04/20268th33/10%22%+0.22
14/05/202610th50/10%40%+0.40
02/07/20262nd66/10%94%+0.94
23/07/20261st5/174%100%+0.26
07/08/20266th3/184%58%-0.26
14/08/20262nd13/266%92%+0.26
11/09/202611th15/261%33%-0.27