15
Three Tribes
9yo Gelding · 10-1 · OR 73
Sligo · Brenda Anderson Memorial Handicap Chase (0-100) · 2m 5f
#15
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 9.5 /10 (raw 9.3)
Highest class: BHA76
Recent avg: C8.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Ballinrobe | BHA76 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Killarney | BHA79 | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-21 | Limerick | BHA80 | 0 | ||
| 2025-05-31 | Listowel | BHA84 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-05-13 | Sligo | BHA87 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-04-24 | Kilbeggan | BHA90 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 157% of fieldRange 7-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength43%
Delivery trend +1.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 14th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08/2024 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 08/10/2024 | 5th | 100/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 26/10/2024 | 12th | 300/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 24/04/2025 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 13/05/2025 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 31/05/2025 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 35% | +0.35 |
| 11/09/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |