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Wing Back

6yo Gelding · 11-6 · OR 92

Sligo · Brenda Anderson Memorial Handicap Chase (0-100) · 2m 5f

#11

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Landed a gamble in maiden hurdle at Downpatrick last summer. Has yet to hit the same heights in 3 starts over fences, though left plenty to do when mid-division behind Driveonwill back at that course on latest. Very much one to note should the market speak in his favour.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength12%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 7.6 /10 (raw 8.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA96 @ Clonmel 03/10/2024 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR 96 · 2m3f206y Goo 167 · below its mark03/10/2024 · OR 96 par3/1096OR 96BHA94 @ Sligo 25/10/2024 · Pos 15th of 16 · OR 94 · 2m4f66y Yie 165 · below its mark25/10/2024 · OR 94 parBHA88 @ Wexford 04/07/2025 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR 88 · 2m1f55y Goo 156 · below its mark04/07/2025 · OR 88 par4/0788OR 88BHA86 @ Downpatrick 10/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 86 · 2m1f165y Goo 154 · beat its mark10/08/2025 · OR 86 parBHA94 @ Downpatrick 25/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 94 · 2m1f165y Gd 160 · below its mark25/08/2025 · OR 94 par25/0894OR 94BHA95 @ Thurles 16/10/2025 · Pos 13th of 18 · OR 95 · 1m7f172y Goo 164 · below its mark16/10/2025 · OR 95 parC0 @ Wexford 03/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 2m3f110y Gd 1663/07C?C8 @ Killarney 17/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 2m1f Goo 156BHA93 @ Downpatrick 31/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR 93 · 2m3f100y Gd 161 · below its mark31/08/2026 · OR 93 par31/0893OR 93projClass-projected finish: 15th of 15
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31DownpatrickBHA937th7th0
2026-07-17Killarney?6th6th0
2026-07-03Wexford?9th9th0
2025-10-16ThurlesBHA9513th13th0
2025-10-02ClonmelBHA950
2025-08-25DownpatrickBHA943rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/1010/083/0731/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1521% of fieldRange 6-13 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength37%

Delivery trend +4.6% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 12th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/10/20249th7/163%47%-0.16
25/10/202415th15/261%7%-0.54
04/07/202510th17/255%31%-0.24
10/08/20251st7/491%100%+0.09
25/08/20253rd6/594%75%-0.19
16/10/202513th17/255%29%-0.26
03/07/20269th100/10%20%+0.20
17/07/20266th80/10%17%+0.17
31/08/20267th11/271%57%-0.14