1
Itsalladream
7yo Gelding · 11-10 · OR 121
Sligo · Christy 'Frosty' Callaghan Memorial Chase · 2m 5f
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | Galway | BHA122 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Wexford | BHA122 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Listowel | BHA122 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Killarney | 1 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-15 | Punchestown | 1 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-29 | Roscommon | 1 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength49%
Delivery trend +3.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07/2025 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 10% | -0.06 |
| 10/08/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 33% | -0.54 |
| 23/08/2025 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 20% | -0.62 |
| 29/09/2025 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 15/10/2025 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 11/05/2026 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 01/06/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 03/07/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |
| 02/08/2026 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |