2
Le Coq Hardi
7yo Gelding · 11-10 · OR 131
Sligo · Christy 'Frosty' Callaghan Memorial Chase · 2m 5f
#2
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#2
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 2.7)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Wexford | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-30 | Galway | 1 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Kilbeggan | BHA135 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Limerick | BHA136 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Ascot | 1 | 0 | ||
| 2025-09-24 | Listowel | 1 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength86%
Delivery trend +3.0% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09/2024 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 0% | -0.86 |
| 08/05/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 92% | +0.16 |
| 26/05/2025 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 78% | -0.06 |
| 16/06/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 90% | +0.53 |
| 23/07/2025 | 3rd | 1/1 | 95% | 50% | -0.45 |
| 24/09/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 82% | +0.67 |
| 21/05/2026 | 2nd | 5/6 | 96% | 75% | -0.21 |
| 15/06/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 30/07/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |