5
Minella Sixo
7yo Gelding · 11-4 · OR 133
Sligo · Christy 'Frosty' Callaghan Memorial Chase · 2m 5f
#4
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-30 | Punchestown | 1 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-03-12 | Cheltenham | 1 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-02-22 | Naas | BHA129 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-02 | Leopardstown | 1 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-14 | Fairyhouse | BHA133 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-08-01 | Galway | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength95%
Delivery trend +7.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/12/2024 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 80% | -0.13 |
| 26/12/2024 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |
| 14/03/2025 | 18th | 22/1 | 0% | 26% | +0.26 |
| 01/08/2025 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 47% | +0.31 |
| 14/01/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |
| 02/02/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 22/02/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 88% | +0.09 |
| 12/03/2026 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 30/04/2026 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |