5
Fr Gilligansvoyge
13yo Gelding · 11-4 · OR 90
Sligo · Sligo Races Handicap Chase (0-100) · 3m 1f 182y
#4
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Ballinrobe | BHA90 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Wexford | BHA88 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Kilbeggan | BHA81 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Tramore | BHA75 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Wexford | BHA75 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Wexford | BHA75 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1358% of fieldRange 7-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength26%
Delivery trend -9.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/05/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 30/05/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 89% | +0.73 |
| 13/06/2026 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |
| 03/07/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 83% | +0.57 |
| 22/07/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 93% | +0.67 |
| 14/08/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 21/08/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 28/08/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 92% | +0.34 |
| 11/09/2026 | 13th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |