4
John Storey
8yo Gelding · 11-5 · OR 91
Sligo · Sligo Races Handicap Chase (0-100) · 3m 1f 182y
#10
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 6.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Galway | BHA90 | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-04 | Roscommon | BHA92 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Down Royal | BHA93 | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-29 | Downpatrick | BHA93 | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-26 | Punchestown | BHA93 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-11 | Punchestown | BHA95 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +4.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/03/2025 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 60% | -0.06 |
| 06/04/2025 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 20/04/2025 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 47% | +0.32 |
| 05/08/2025 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 29/08/2025 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 53% | +0.38 |
| 01/10/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 04/11/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 26/01/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 75% | +0.22 |
| 04/08/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 87% | +0.31 |