6
Mr Devlin
5yo Gelding · 11-3 · OR 89
Sligo · Sligo Races Handicap Chase (0-100) · 3m 1f 182y
#12
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 9.5 /10 (raw 10.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Navan | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-09-04 | Kilbeggan | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-17 | Down Royal | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-03-02 | Leopardstown | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-02-19 | Thurles | BHA100 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-01-09 | Naas | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 130% of fieldRange 8-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength20%
Delivery trend -6.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/11/2025 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 26/12/2025 | 15th | 125/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 09/01/2026 | 10th | 300/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 19/02/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 02/03/2026 | 13th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 17/03/2026 | 12th | 66/1 | 0% | 39% | +0.39 |
| 04/09/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 19/09/2026 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 47% | -0.01 |