10
The Little Yank
11yo Gelding · 10-11 · OR 83
Sligo · Sligo Races Handicap Chase (0-100) · 3m 1f 182y
#9
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C9.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Ballinrobe | BHA86 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-09-07 | Galway | BHA90 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Sligo | BHA92 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Kilbeggan | BHA87 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Kilbeggan | BHA92 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-16 | Limerick | BHA94 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 138% of fieldRange 5-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength13%
Delivery trend -3.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/12/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 73% | +0.36 |
| 20/12/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 27/12/2025 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 36% | -0.16 |
| 08/01/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 10/07/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 08/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 33% | -0.52 |
| 19/08/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 07/09/2026 | 14th | 22/1 | 0% | 28% | +0.28 |
| 11/09/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 53% | +0.16 |