13
Tullabrack Lad
7yo Gelding · 10-0 · OR 72
Sligo · Sligo Races Handicap Chase (0-100) · 3m 1f 182y
#13
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.6 /10 (raw 11.6)
Highest class: BHA72
Recent avg: C7.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Kilbeggan | BHA72 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Down Royal | BHA72 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-12 | Limerick | BHA72 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-02-19 | Thurles | BHA72 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-01-11 | Punchestown | BHA75 | 0 | ||
| 2024-08-09 | Wexford | BHA80 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1317% of fieldRange 5-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength39%
Delivery trend +1.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/2024 | 20th | 125/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 18/05/2024 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 17/06/2024 | 14th | 33/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 18/07/2024 | 12th | 66/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 09/08/2024 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 19/02/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 12/03/2026 | 9th | 100/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 12/04/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 21/08/2026 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 31% | -0.06 |