Markaway
3yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 39
Thistledown · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-25 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-08-13 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-07-15 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-20 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-06-02 | Thistledown | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/03/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 02/04/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 13/05/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 02/06/2026 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 13% | -0.66 |
| 20/06/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 38% | +0.22 |
| 15/07/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 80% | -0.10 |
| 13/08/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 43% | -0.28 |
| 25/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 80% | -0.08 |
| 16/09/2026 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |