10

Wandalou's Pride

6yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 27

Thistledown · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f

#9

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength40%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 2

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Mahoning Valley 11/02/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 18 · 1m Fas 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/02/2025 · OR 18 par11/02C6OR 18C6 @ Thistledown 14/05/2025 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 22 · 6f Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/05/2025 · OR 22 parC6 @ Thistledown 03/06/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 21 · 1m Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/06/2025 · OR 21 par3/06C6OR 21C6 @ Thistledown 09/07/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 87 · 6f 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark09/07/2025 · OR 87 parC6 @ Thistledown 12/08/2025 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 75 · 6f 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark12/08/2025 · OR 75 par12/08C6OR 75C9 @ Thistledown 04/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 70 · 1m 123 · below its mark04/09/2025 · OR 70 parC9 @ Thistledown 25/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 89 · 6f Fas 123 · beat its mark25/09/2025 · OR 89 par25/09C9OR 89C8 @ Mahoning Valley 21/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 17 · 6f 126 · beat its mark21/10/2025 · OR 17 parC8 @ Mahoning Valley 04/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 24 · 1m 124 · beat its mark04/11/2025 · OR 24 par4/11C8OR 24projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-11-04Mahoning Valley?5th5th0
2025-10-21Mahoning Valley?9th9th0
2025-09-25Thistledown?1st2nd−1
2025-09-04Thistledown?3rd4th−1
2025-08-12Thistledown?9th7th+2
2025-07-09Thistledown?7th5th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/029/0725/094/11
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 5-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength27%

Delivery trend +2.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/02/20256th20/10%17%+0.17
14/05/20259th25/10%0%0.00
03/06/20255th25/10%43%+0.43
09/07/20257th14/126%14%-0.12
12/08/20259th40/10%0%0.00
04/09/20253rd14/126%50%+0.24
25/09/20251st7/163%100%+0.37
21/10/20259th25/10%0%0.00
04/11/20255th25/10%43%+0.43