Anicetta

3yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 72

Thistledown · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

99%

Place Prob

83%

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read

Move▼1

Strength44%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C6.6

Today:

Class gap: +0.9

Higher-class runs: 3

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-14	Thistledown	?	1st	2nd	−1	7.8
2026-08-27	Thistledown	?	6th	4th	+2	5.8
2026-08-13	Thistledown	?	6th	4th	+2	5.8
2026-07-23	Thistledown	?	6th	4th	+2	5.8

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%

▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only

Trend▬

Strength54%

Delivery trend -1.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 7.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
23/07/2026	6th	25/1	0%	29%	+0.29
13/08/2026	6th	14/1	26%	38%	+0.11
27/08/2026	6th	12/1	37%	0%	-0.37
14/09/2026	1st	15/2	61%	100%	+0.39