7

Bionic Saint

4yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 34

Thistledown · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f

#4

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼3
Strength89%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: +2.5
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Mahoning Valley 03/04/2025 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 41 · 1m Slo 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/04/2025 · OR 41 par3/04C6OR 41C6 @ Thistledown 21/04/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 36 · 6f Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/04/2025 · OR 36 parC6 @ Thistledown 26/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 35 · 5f110y 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/05/2026 · OR 35 par26/05C6OR 35C5 @ Thistledown 15/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 36 · 6f Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/06/2026 · OR 36 parC5 @ Thistledown 01/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 37 · 6f 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/07/2026 · OR 37 par1/07C5OR 37C5 @ Thistledown 20/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 44 · 6f 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/07/2026 · OR 44 parC5 @ Thistledown 05/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 36 · 5f110y Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/08/2026 · OR 36 par5/08C5OR 36C5 @ Thistledown 26/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 40 · 6f Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/08/2026 · OR 40 parC5 @ Thistledown 15/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 37 · 1m Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/09/2026 · OR 37 par15/09C5OR 37projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-15Thistledown?10th7th+3
2026-08-26Thistledown?6th3rd+3
2026-08-05Thistledown?2nd-1th+3
2026-07-20Thistledown?5th2nd+3
2026-07-01Thistledown?7th4th+3
2026-06-15Thistledown?6th3rd+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0415/065/0815/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength91%

Delivery trend +2.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/04/20252nd4/797%67%-0.30
21/04/20252nd4/179%83%+0.04
26/05/20261st6/168%100%+0.32
15/06/20266th9/153%17%-0.36
01/07/20267th14/126%14%-0.12
20/07/20265th20/10%20%+0.20
05/08/20262nd16/116%75%+0.59
26/08/20266th14/126%17%-0.10
15/09/202610th16/116%0%-0.16