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3

Greek Boutique

4yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 29

Thistledown · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f

#6

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength84%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: +1.8
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Thistledown 01/07/2024 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 5f Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS1/07C6C6 @ Thistledown 06/08/2024 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 56 · 5f110y Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/08/2024 · OR 56 par6/08C6OR 56C6 @ Thistledown 12/09/2024 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 59 · 5f110y Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/09/2024 · OR 59 par12/09C6OR 59C5 @ Mahoning Valley 23/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 53 · 6f 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/10/2025 · OR 53 par23/10C5OR 53C5 @ Thistledown 01/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 45 · 6f 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/07/2026 · OR 45 par1/07C5OR 45C5 @ Thistledown 26/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 35 · 6f Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/08/2026 · OR 35 par26/08C5OR 35C8 @ Thistledown 22/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 27 · 5f110y 119 · beat its mark22/09/2026 · OR 27 par22/09C8OR 27projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-22Thistledown?4th4th0
2026-08-26Thistledown?7th4th+3
2026-07-01Thistledown?8th5th+3
2025-10-23Mahoning Valley?7th4th+3
2024-09-12Thistledown?1st-1th+2
2024-08-06Thistledown?2nd0th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0723/1022/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength23%

Delivery trend -4.7% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/07/20244th10/147%50%+0.03
06/08/20242nd11/486%86%+0.00
12/09/20241st4/998%100%+0.02
23/10/20257th13/266%14%-0.52
01/07/20268th12/137%0%-0.37
26/08/20267th25/10%0%0.00
22/09/20264th6/168%40%-0.28