2
Bella Future
8yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 91
Thistledown · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
21%
Place Prob
19%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-07 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength99%
Delivery trend +5.3% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price, confirming the short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/01/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 29% | -0.48 |
| 04/03/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 83% | -0.02 |
| 16/03/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 20% | -0.56 |
| 07/04/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 40% | -0.21 |
| 02/05/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 29% | +0.13 |
| 25/05/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 11/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 03/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 75% | -0.18 |
| 08/09/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |