4
Star Entertainer
7yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 88
Thistledown · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
9%
Place Prob
13%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength88%
Delivery trend -3.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/01/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 71% | +0.56 |
| 22/01/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 07/04/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 02/05/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 26/05/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 71% | +0.11 |
| 11/06/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |
| 22/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 60% | -0.28 |
| 27/07/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 43% | -0.20 |
| 19/08/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 86% | +0.59 |