6
Wonder World
4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 75
Thistledown · Race 5 - Allowance · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength22%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2026-08-17 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-07-08 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-24 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-11-12 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 3-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength18%
Delivery trend -4.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/02/2025 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 20/03/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 88% | +0.35 |
| 12/04/2025 | 2nd | 5/6 | 96% | 83% | -0.12 |
| 12/11/2025 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 24/11/2025 | 4th | 7/4 | 91% | 50% | -0.41 |
| 28/05/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 08/07/2026 | 5th | 15/8 | 90% | 20% | -0.70 |
| 17/08/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 83% | -0.09 |
| 07/09/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |