4
Watch Me Daddy
4yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 53
Thistledown · Race 7 - Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength34%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-20 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-17 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-03 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength75%
Delivery trend -2.9% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/12/2024 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 30/09/2025 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 83% | -0.09 |
| 23/10/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |
| 03/11/2025 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 88% | +0.05 |
| 17/11/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 83% | +0.10 |
| 20/12/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 15/07/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 40% | -0.31 |
| 24/08/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 07/09/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 25% | -0.38 |