6
Ambrosia De Vaige
3yo Filly · 9-1
Toulouse · Prix Sharaaf Handicap · 7f 209y
#11
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Vichy | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Tarbes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Mont De Marsan | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | La Teste De Buch | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Toulouse | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength49%
Delivery trend +0.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/01/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 91% | +0.28 |
| 20/02/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 15/05/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 08/06/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 26/06/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 40% | +0.35 |
| 11/07/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 63% | +0.26 |
| 17/08/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 29/08/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 21/09/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 62% | +0.35 |