3
Heureuse
3yo Filly · 9-6
Toulouse · Prix Sharaaf Handicap · 7f 209y
#7
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Vichy | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-23 | Dax | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Le Lion D'angers | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Compiegne | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-23 | Mont De Marsan | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-12-26 | Pau | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 6-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength33%
Delivery trend +0.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/11/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 26/12/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 63% | -0.19 |
| 23/03/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 80% | -0.06 |
| 25/05/2026 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 30% | -0.46 |
| 24/07/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 23/08/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 60% | -0.03 |
| 21/09/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 69% | -0.10 |