9
La Almadia
3yo Filly · 8-12
Toulouse · Prix Sharaaf Handicap · 7f 209y
#5
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-23 | Dax | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Clairefontaine | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Toulouse | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 5-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -4.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/03/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 92% | +0.76 |
| 23/03/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 70% | -0.01 |
| 17/04/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 08/06/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 06/07/2026 | 12th | 8/1 | 58% | 8% | -0.50 |
| 15/07/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 86% | +0.70 |
| 05/08/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 33% | -0.32 |
| 23/08/2026 | 9th | 15/2 | 61% | 20% | -0.41 |
| 05/09/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 64% | +0.58 |