IvyArcIvyArc
10

Over Ground

3yo Gelding · 8-11

Toulouse · Prix Sharaaf Handicap · 7f 209y

#9

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Pau 11/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 7f209y Std 12811/01C5C5 @ Pau 06/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 7f209y Std 1286/02C5C5 @ Mont De Marsan 23/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 1m1f207y Gd 12823/07C5projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-23Mont De Marsan?4th4th0
2026-02-06Pau?7th7th0
2026-01-11Pau?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/016/0223/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength71%

Delivery trend +10.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/01/20264th33/10%50%+0.50
06/02/20267th25/10%33%+0.33
23/07/20264th33/10%70%+0.70