12

Premiera
3yo Filly · 8-7
Toulouse · Prix Sharaaf Handicap · 7f 209y
#10
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Tarbes | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-23 | Mont De Marsan | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-10 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-17 | Toulouse | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 6-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength20%
Delivery trend +1.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 91% | +0.17 |
| 27/07/2025 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 43% | -0.47 |
| 23/01/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 17/02/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 38% | +0.32 |
| 10/03/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 83% | +0.46 |
| 23/03/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 90% | +0.32 |
| 17/04/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 36% | -0.00 |
| 27/04/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 55% | +0.07 |
| 05/09/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |