12

Premiera

3yo Filly · 8-7

Toulouse · Prix Sharaaf Handicap · 7f 209y

#10

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ La Teste De Buch 26/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 12826/06C5C5 @ La Teste De Buch 27/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 6f211y GS 128C5 @ Pau 23/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Std 12423/01C5C5 @ Toulouse 17/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 5f212y Hvy 124C5 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 10/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 6f211y Hvy 12010/03C5C5 @ Mont De Marsan 23/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 5f212y GS 124C0 @ Tarbes 17/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 7f100y Sft 11717/04C?C5 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 27/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 6f211y GS 117C0 @ La Teste De Buch 05/09/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 7f209y Gd 1165/09C?projClass-projected finish: 11th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05La Teste De Buch?11th11th0
2026-04-27Bordeaux Le Bouscat?6th6th0
2026-04-17Tarbes?8th8th0
2026-03-23Mont De Marsan?2nd2nd0
2026-03-10Bordeaux Le Bouscat?3rd3rd0
2026-02-17Toulouse?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0617/0217/045/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 6-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength20%

Delivery trend +1.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/06/20252nd5/174%91%+0.17
27/07/20255th2/189%43%-0.47
23/01/20267th20/10%25%+0.25
17/02/20266th18/15%38%+0.32
10/03/20263rd12/137%83%+0.46
23/03/20262nd8/158%90%+0.32
17/04/20268th12/137%36%-0.00
27/04/20266th10/147%55%+0.07
05/09/202611th33/10%9%+0.09